Assessing the Predictive Value of Methicillin-Resistant Nares Colonization Among Transplant Recipients and Patients With Neutropenia.

Background: Methicillin-resistant (MRSA) nares screening has been shown to be a powerful antibiotic stewardship tool for MRSA infections within 7 days of screening across a variety of anatomical locations given the high negative predictive value (NPV). However, the utility outside of 7 days and among transplant recipients and patients with neutropenia is less clear.

Methods: This was a retrospective cohort study across Veterans Affairs medical centers in the United States from 1 January 2007 to 1 January 2023 of patients tested for MRSA colonization and who had a subsequent positive bacterial culture within 28 days of MRSA sc---reening. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and NPV were calculated across different time points and anatomical culture locations.

Results: The cohort consisted of 686 174 patients, 6 277 437 MRSA nares tests, and 2 446 766 positive bacterial cultures within 28 days of MRSA testing. The NPV of MRSA nares screening for ruling out a MRSA infection within 28 days was 95.8% across all anatomical culture sites. The NPV was 97.9% among patients with neutropenia and 97.5% in solid organ and hemopoietic stem cell transplant recipients.

Conclusions: MRSA nares screening can reliably be used for de-escalation of anti-MRSA therapy within 28 days of bacterial culture for all patients, including solid organ and hematopoietic transplant recipients and patients with neutropenia.