Development of a Preoperative Prediction Model Based on Spectral CT to Evaluate Axillary Lymph Node With Macrometastases in Clinical T1/2N0 Invasive Breast Cancer.

Objectives: To develop a prediction model based on spectral computed tomography (CT) to evaluate axillary lymph node (ALN) with macrometastases in clinical T1/2N0 invasive breast cancer.

Methods: A total of 217 clinical T1/2N0 invasive breast cancer patients who underwent spectral CT scans were retrospectively enrolled and categorized into a training cohort (n = 151) and validation cohort (n = 66). These patients were classified into ALN nonmacrometastases (stage pN0 or pN0 [i+] or pN1mi) and ALN macrometastases (stage pN1-3) subgroups. The morphologic criteria and quantitative spectral CT parameters of the most suspicious ALN were measured and compared. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) was used to screen predictive indicators to build a logistic model. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the models.

Results: The combined arterial-venous phase spectral CT model yielded the best diagnostic performance in discrimination of ALN nonmacrometastases and ALN macrometastases with the highest AUC (0.963 in the training cohort and 0.945 in validation cohorts). Among single phase spectral CT models, the venous phase spectral CT model showed the best performance (AUC = 0.960 in the training cohort and 0.940 in validation cohorts). There was no significant difference in AUCs among the 3 models (DeLong test, P > .05 for each comparison).

Conclusion: A Lasso-logistic model that combined morphologic features and quantitative spectral CT parameters based on contrast-enhanced spectral imaging potentially be used as a noninvasive tool for individual preoperative prediction of ALN status in clinical T1/2N0 invasive breast cancers.