Initial MRI findings predictive of a pathological complete response to neoadjuvant treatments in HER2-positive breast cancers.

Purpose: This study aimed to determine if initial MRI findings could predict a pathological complete response (pCR) following neoadjuvant systemic therapy (NST) in HER2-positive breast cancers.

Methods: The study retrospectively included 111 patients (Center 1, training set) and 71 patients (Center 2, validation set) with HER2-positive cancer who underwent NST. Initial clinicopathological data and MRI findings were recorded. Continuous variables were analyzed using the Mann-Whitney and Student's t-tests, while categorical variables were analyzed using the χ or Fisher's exact test. Univariate analysis was conducted to determine the associations between these variables and pathological complete response (pCR), defined as the absence of invasive malignant cells in the breast and lymph nodes. Interobserver reproducibility was assessed for associated non-mass enhancement (NME) parameter by analyzing 50 MR studies (intraclass correlation coefficient).

Results: pCR was achieved in 67 patients, 51 (46 %) from Center 1 and 16 (23%) from Center 2 (p = 0.003), with significant differences between Centers 1 and 2 in tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte levels and lymphovascular invasion (p < 0.001). The initial presence of suspicious associated NME was the only significant parameter predictive of pCR (p < 0.001 for Center 1 and 0.04 for Center 2). The inter-observer reproducibility for this MRI feature was good, with an intraclass correlation coefficient of 0.872 (95 % CI: 0.73-1.00).

Conclusion: The presence of suspicious associated NME in HER2-positive cancers on the initial MRI study was predictive of achieving pCR after NST. This significant preliminary finding warrants confirmation through prospective multicenter studies.