Assessment of AURKA expression and prognosis prediction in lung adenocarcinoma using machine learning-based pathomics signature.

Objective: This study aimed to develop quantitative feature-based models from histopathological images to assess aurora kinase A (AURKA) expression and predict the prognosis of patients with lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD).

Methods: A dataset of patients with LUAD was derived from the cancer genome atlas (TCGA) with information on clinical characteristics, RNA sequencing and histopathological images. The TCGA-LUAD cohort was randomly divided into training (n = 229) and testing (n = 98) sets. We extracted quantitative image features from histopathological slides of patients with LUAD using computational approaches, constructed a predictive model for AURKA expression in the training set, and estimated their predictive performance in the test set. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess whether the pathomic scores (PS) generated by the model independently predicted LUAD survival.

Results: High AURKA expression was an independent risk factor for overall survival (OS) in patients with LUAD (hazard ratio = 1.816, 95 % confidence intervals = 1.257-2.623, P = 0.001). The model based on histopathological image features had significant predictive value for AURKA expression: the area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic curve in the training set and validation set was 0.809 and 0.739, respectively. Decision curve analysis showed that the model had clinical utility. Patients with high PS and low PS had different survival rates (P = 0.019). Multivariate analysis suggested that PS was an independent prognostic factor for LUAD (hazard ratio = 1.615, 95 % confidence intervals = 1.071-2.438, P = 0.022).

Conclusion: Pathomics models based on machine learning can accurately predict AURKA expression and the PS generated by the model can predict LUAD prognosis.