Unlocking the potential of HB/RDW ratio as a simple marker for predicting mortality in acute ischemic stroke patients after thrombolysis.

Background: Systemic inflammation impairs outcomes in acute ischemic stroke (AIS). There is limited knowledge regarding the prognostic value of inflammatory biomarkers derived from complete blood count in predicting in-hospital mortality (IHM) in AIS patients treated with recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA). Our study aims to compare the predictive performance of various inflammatory biomarkers for predicting IHM in AIS patients.

Methods: This retrospective study included AIS patients treated with rt-PA between January 2015 and July 2022. We identified the following inflammatory biomarkers: white blood cell counts (WBCs), absolute neutrophil count, absolute lymphocyte count, neutrophil to lymphocyte count ratio, platelet to neutrophil ratio, platelet to lymphocyte ratio, red cell distribution width (RDW), RDW to platelet ratio (RPR), and hemoglobin to RDW (HB/RDW) at admission before rt-PA administration. We assessed the predictive value of these biomarkers for IHM by plotting receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The associations between inflammatory biomarkers and IHM were analyzed using multivariable logistic regression (MVLR) analyses.

Results: Of 345 AIS patients, IHM occurred in 65 patients (18.84%). HB/RDW and RDW showed better predictive performance compared to other inflammatory biomarkers. In ROC curve analysis, HB/RDW and RDW had an area under ROC of 0.668. HB/RDW outperformed RDW in terms of the positive likelihood ratio (2.733 vs 1.575), accuracy (0.757 vs 0.585), specificity (0.814 vs 0.560), and positive predictive values (0.388 vs 0.267). In MVLR analysis, RDW, RPR, and HB/RDW remained significantly associated with IHM (per 1-unit increases: odds ratios (ORs) = 1.450, 95% CI: [1.178-1.784]; per 1-unit increases: ORs = 1.329, 95% CI [1.103-1.602]; and per 0.1-unit decreases: ORs = 1.412, 95% CI [1.089-1.831], respectively).

Conclusions: The association between HB/RDW and IHM in AIS patients treated with rt-PA was significant. HB/RDW exhibited superior predictive performance compared to other inflammatory biomarkers in predicting IHM.