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Mortality Risk Assessment Using the REVEAL 2.0 Score in Pulmonary Hypertension Secondary to Left Heart Disease. | LitMetric

AI Article Synopsis

  • Pulmonary hypertension (PH) in patients with left heart disease (PH-LHD) is linked to poorer outcomes, and current risk prediction tools may not effectively predict mortality for these patients.
  • A study analyzed data from 161 PH-LHD patients, using the REVEAL 2.0 risk score to categorize them into low, intermediate, or high-risk groups, and assessed their survival over 1 and 3 years.
  • While high-risk patients showed significantly worse 3-year survival rates, the distinction between intermediate and low-risk patients was not statistically significant, indicating potential flaws in the classification system for the intermediate group.

Article Abstract

Background: Pulmonary hypertension (PH) frequently complicates the course of patients with left heart disease (PH-LHD) and is associated with worse clinical outcomes. Mortality calculators for PH-LHD are lacking, and it is unclear whether any risk prediction tools originally derived from other forms of PH can accurately predict outcomes in patients with PH-LHD.

Methods: We retrospectively analyzed data from 161 patients diagnosed with PH-LHD referred to our pulmonary hypertension center from 2016 to 2022. We calculated the Registry to Evaluate Early and Long-Term PAH Disease Management (REVEAL 2.0) risk score and categorized patients as low, intermediate, or high-risk. We assessed survival at 1 and 3 years using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards, as well as classification performance using a concordance index.

Results: At the first outpatient visit, 15% of patients were stratified as low-risk, 27% as intermediate, and 57% as high-risk. Cumulative 1-year survival rates were 100%, 94%, and 91% for the low, intermediate, and high-risk strata, respectively. Cumulative 3-year survival rates were 96%, 89%, and 70% for the low, intermediate, and high-risk strata, respectively. We found no difference in outcomes at 1 year between risk groups. High-risk patients had an increased risk of death at 3 years using REVEAL 2.0 (HR 5.32, p < 0.001). However, while REVEAL 2.0 accurately discriminated high-risk patients, the hazard ratio was not statistically different between patients classified as intermediate-risk compared to low-risk.

Conclusion: REVEAL 2.0 accurately predicted 3-year survival in PH-LHD patients with high-risk features. However, the mortality risk between patients classified as intermediate-risk was not different from the low-risk stratum, suggesting inaccurate classification for this group of patients.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11230514PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4474171/v1DOI Listing

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