Spatiotemporal changes of urban vacant land and its distribution patterns in shrinking cities on the globe.

Sci Total Environ

School of Architecture, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China; Hang Lung Center for Real Estate, Key Laboratory of Ecological Planning & Green Building, Ministry of Education, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China. Electronic address:

Published: October 2024

AI Article Synopsis

  • Urban vacant land (UVL) is a significant factor in the urbanization process, especially in shrinking cities, and identifying and analyzing its characteristics is essential.
  • A study examined UVL in 497 of these cities between 2016 and 2021, using both manual labeling and deep learning techniques, revealing a global rise in UVL and diverse patterns across regions.
  • The research found a connection between UVL and population decrease, showcasing an inverted U-shaped relationship between UVL ratio and urbanization rate, suggesting varying distribution patterns of UVL based on different urbanization phases.

Article Abstract

Urban vacant land (UVL) has been an important issue in the urbanization process, especially for shrinking cities. Identifying UVL and analyzing its spatiotemporal characteristics are the foundation for coping with this issue. This study identified UVL in 497 shrinking cities on the globe (10 % of shrinking cities in total) in 2016 and 2021 using manual labeling and deep learning to reflect the distribution patterns of UVL and its spatiotemporal changes. The results reveal that a global expansion of UVL from 2016 to 2021 in 497 shrinking cities, with diverse distribution patterns and varying changes across different regions. As for socioeconomic factors, UVL is related to population shrinkage, and the UVL ratio presents a phased change with the increase of the urbanization rate, revealing an inverted U-shaped relationship between the UVL ratio and the urbanization rate. The distribution patterns of UVL also vary globally in different urbanization phases. This study can provide theoretical and practical insights for improving urban planning and promoting sustainable urbanization.

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Source
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174424DOI Listing

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