A Clinical Nomogram for Predicting Overall Survival in Patients With T1/T2 Penile Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

Background: To evaluate the overall survival (OS) and construct a nomogram to predict the OS of patients with penile squamous cell carcinoma (PSCC).

Methods: This retrospective study analyzed data of patients with PSCC from the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University between 2012 and 2022. R software was used to explore factors influencing OS in PSCC. Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were employed for OS estimation. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to identify these factors. A nomogram was created to identify the independent prognostic factors. The model was evaluated by concordance index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and calibration plots.

Results: A total of 159 patients with T1/T2 PSCC were included in the analysis. Patients with T2/N2 stage, older age, larger tumor size, high preoperative systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and poor preoperative nutrition had a higher incidence of poor OS. Age, T/N stage, tumor size, and SII were identified as independent prognostic indicators. A prognostic nomogram was formulated, and its predictive accuracy for estimating OS in PSCC patients was validated through ROC curves and calibration plots.

Conclusion: The nomograms, based on age, T/N stage, tumor size, and high preoperative SII, provide a valuable tool for predicting 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS in patients with T1/T2 PSCC without distant metastases.