Evaluating Serum Copeptin as a Promising Biomarker for Predicting Acute Ischaemic Stroke Severity: A Hospital-Based Study on Strokes.

Background: Stroke is the second cause of mortality and the foremost leading cause of disability globally. Many potential biomarkers have been described to contribute to prognosticating the severity in the acute phase of stroke as well as help with risk stratification. Copeptin, an inactive peptide that is produced in an equimolar ratio to arginine vasopressin and adequately mirrors an individual's stress response to acute illnesses like acute ischaemic stroke as evidenced by elevated or increasing levels is being explored in this study to determine its relationship with acute stroke severity and infarct size on admission.

Methods: This is a cross-sectional study of 80 neuroimaging-confirmed acute ischaemic patients who presented within seven days of symptom onset and 80 control subjects. The ischaemic stroke cases had stroke severity and infarct volume determined on admission by the National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) and neuroimaging (brain CT/MRI). A baseline serum copeptin level was measured in the study subjects. Spearman correlation and Kruskal Wallis test were used to determine the relationship between serum copeptin level with admission NIHSS and infarct size respectively. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was calculated to determine the sensitivity and specificity of copeptin to predict severity and outcome.

Results: The mean age of the study group was 61.3 ± 12.7 years with 55.0% males and 45.0% females. The serum level of copeptin was significantly higher in the stroke cases with a median of 28.6 pmol/L (interquartile range (IQR)- 15.4-31.6 pmol/L) versus 8.8 pmol/L (IQR- 3.2- 10.7 pmol/L) among the stroke-free controls (p= 0.001) at a statistically significant level. There was a weak correlation between copeptin and NIHSS calculated at admission to measure stroke severity (r- 0.02, p= 0.873). Patients with infarct sizes in the fourth quartile (infarct sizes greater than 18.78 cm) had higher copeptin levels, though this was not statistically significant (H= 2.88; p= 0.410). Admission serum copeptin did not show a statistically significant prognostic value in predicting stroke severity and mortality in stroke patients who presented within seven days of symptom onset with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.51 (95% CI: 0.36-0.65; p= 0.982).

Conclusion: In this study, copeptin was higher among the stroke cases compared with the stroke-free controls which suggests a significant prognostic value in risk stratification in the acute phase of stroke; however, this did not significantly correlate with stroke severity and thus warrants further study in this field to elucidate it's fascinating potential as a prognostic biomarker (especially in the acute period) as this may enable allocation of a better-focused therapy for stroke patients.