In vitro fertilization (IVF) has the potential to give babies to millions more people globally, yet it continues to be underutilized. We established a globally applicable and locally adaptable IVF prognostics report and framework to support patient-provider counseling and enable validated, data-driven treatment decisions. This study investigates the IVF utilization rates associated with the usage of machine learning, center-specific (MLCS) prognostic reports (the Univfy report) in provider-patient pre-treatment and IVF counseling. We used a retrospective cohort comprising 24,238 patients with new patient visits (NPV) from 2016 to 2022 across seven fertility centers in 17 locations in seven US states and Ontario, Canada. We tested the association of Univfy report usage and first intra-uterine insemination (IUI) and/or first IVF usage (a.k.a. conversion) within 180 days, 360 days, and "Ever" of NPV as primary outcomes. Univfy report usage was associated with higher direct IVF conversion (without prior IUI), with odds ratios (OR) 3.13 (95% CI 2.83, 3.46), 2.89 (95% CI 2.63, 3.17), and 2.04 (95% CI 1.90, 2.20) and total IVF conversion (with or without prior IUI), OR 3.41 (95% CI 3.09, 3.75), 3.81 (95% CI 3.49, 4.16), and 2.78 (95% CI 2.59, 2.98) in 180-day, 360-day, and Ever analyses, respectively; < 0.05. Among patients with Univfy report usage, after accounting for center as a factor, older age was a small yet independent predictor of IVF conversion. Usage of a patient-centric, MLCS-based prognostics report was associated with increased IVF conversion among new fertility patients. Further research to study factors influencing treatment decision making and real-world optimization of patient-centric workflows utilizing the MLCS reports is warranted.

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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11204457PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jcm13123560DOI Listing

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Article Synopsis
  • IVF is a treatment that helps people who have trouble getting pregnant, but many don’t use it even when it could help them.
  • Understanding how effective IVF is for them is important, and using machine learning can help provide personalized information to patients before they start treatment.
  • The article talks about how to use machine learning in hospitals to help people make better decisions about IVF, and how this could improve access to fertility care and benefit society as a whole.
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In vitro fertilization (IVF) has the potential to give babies to millions more people globally, yet it continues to be underutilized. We established a globally applicable and locally adaptable IVF prognostics report and framework to support patient-provider counseling and enable validated, data-driven treatment decisions. This study investigates the IVF utilization rates associated with the usage of machine learning, center-specific (MLCS) prognostic reports (the Univfy report) in provider-patient pre-treatment and IVF counseling.

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In Reply.

Obstet Gynecol

November 2023

Division of Reproductive Endocrinology and Infertility, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina.

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Evaluation of a New Model for Human Chorionic Gonadotropin Rise in Pregnancies of Unknown Viability.

Obstet Gynecol

July 2023

Division of Reproductive Endocrinology and Infertility, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; the Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, Kansas; and the Division of Reproductive Endocrinology and Infertility, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina.

Objective: To evaluate the performance of a new human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) threshold model to classify pregnancies as viable or nonviable using a longitudinal cohort of individuals with pregnancy of unknown viability. The secondary objective was to compare the new model with three established models.

Methods: This is a single-center, retrospective cohort study of individuals seen at the University of Missouri from January 1, 2015, until March 1, 2020, who had at least two consecutive quantitative hCG serum levels with an initial level greater than 2 milli-international units/mL and 5,000 milli-international units/mL or less, with the first interval between laboratory draws no greater than 7 days.

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