Assessing Falling Number Stability Increases the Genomic Prediction Ability of Pre-Harvest Sprouting Resistance in Common Winter Wheat.

Pre-harvest sprouting (PHS) resistance is a complex trait, and many genes influencing the germination process of winter wheat have already been described. In the light of interannual climate variation, breeding for PHS resistance will remain mandatory for wheat breeders. Several tests and traits are used to assess PHS resistance, i.e., sprouting scores, germination index, and falling number (FN), but the variation of these traits is highly dependent on the weather conditions during field trials. Here, we present a method to assess falling number stability (FNS) employing an after-ripening period and the wetting of the kernels to improve trait variation and thus trait heritability. Different genome-based prediction scenarios within and across two subsequent seasons based on overall 400 breeding lines were applied to assess the predictive abilities of the different traits. Based on FNS, the genome-based prediction of the breeding values of wheat breeding material showed higher correlations across seasons (r=0.505-0.548) compared to those obtained for other traits for PHS assessment (r=0.216-0.501). By weighting PHS-associated quantitative trait loci (QTL) in the prediction model, the average predictive abilities for FNS increased from 0.585 to 0.648 within the season 2014/2015 and from 0.649 to 0.714 within the season 2015/2016. We found that markers in the region on chromosome 4A had the highest effect on the predictive abilities for FNS, confirming the influence of this QTL in wheat breeding material, whereas the dwarfing genes and and the wheat-rye translocated chromosome T1RS.1BL exhibited effects, which are well-known, on FN per se exclusively.