Associations of genetically predicted vitamin D status and deficiency with the risk of carotid artery plaque: a Mendelian randomization study.

Low concentrations of circulating 25-hydroxy-vitamin D are observationally associated with an increased risk of subclinical atherosclerosis and cardiovascular disease. However, randomized controlled trials have not reported the beneficial effects of vitamin D supplementation on atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) outcomes. Whether genetically predicted vitamin D status confers protection against the development of carotid artery plaque, a powerful predictor of subclinical atherosclerosis, remains unknown. We conducted a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study to explore the association of genetically predicted vitamin D status and deficiency with the risk of developing carotid artery plaque. We leveraged three genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of vitamin D status and one GWAS of vitamin D deficiency. We used the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) approach as our main method, and MR-Egger, weighted-median, and radialMR as MR sensitivity analyses. We also conducted sensitivity analyses using biologically plausible genetic instruments located within genes encoding for vitamin D metabolism (GC, CYP2R1, DHCR7, CYP24A1). We did not find significant associations between genetically predicted vitamin D status (Odds ratio (OR) = 0.99, P = 0.91) and deficiency (OR = 1.00, P = 0.97) with the risk of carotid artery plaque. We additionally explored the potential causal effect of vitamin D status on coronary artery calcification (CAC) and carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT), two additional markers of subclinical atherosclerosis, and we did not find any significant association (β = - 0.14, P = 0.23; β = 0.005, P = 0.19). These findings did not support the causal effects of vitamin D status and deficiency on the risk of developing subclinical atherosclerosis.