Plasma metals, genetic risk, and rapid kidney function decline among type 2 diabetes.

Background: Rapid kidney function decline (RKFD) is a main clinical feature of early chronic kidney disease (CKD) in type 2 diabetes (T2D). Environmental and genetic factors influencing RKFD remain inadequately elucidated.

Objectives: This study aimed to examine the associations of metals with RKFD among T2D and to further investigate the effect of metal mixtures on RKFD with the modifying effect of genetic susceptibility.

Methods: This study included 2209 people with T2D (1942 had genotyping data) free of CKD at baseline from the Dongfeng-Tongji cohort. We used inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry (ICP-MS) to measure 23 metals in baseline plasma. Using elastic net (ENET), multivariate logistic regression, and Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) model, we examined independent associations of multiple metals with RKFD. We calculated the environmental risk score (ERS) to assess the effects of metal mixtures on RKFD and the genetic risk score (GRS) to assess genetic susceptibility. RKFD was defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) loss > 3 mL/min/1.73 m/year.

Results: During a median of 9.8 years follow-up, 262 participants developed RKFD. Aluminum, vanadium, zinc, selenium, rubidium, tin, barium, and tungsten were screened from ENET. In multivariate logistic models, vanadium, selenium, and tungsten were negatively associated with RKFD, while zinc, tin, and rubidium were positively associated. The BKMR showed a nonlinear association of vanadium and rubidium with RKFD and interactions between metals (barium‑vanadium, barium‑rubidium). The ERS was positive associated with RKFD (per SD increase in ERS, OR = 1.94, 95% CI: 1.66, 2.27). No significant interaction between ERS and GRS was observed on RKFD, however, participants in the highest ERS and GRS group had the highest RKFD risk.

Conclusion: Vanadium and rubidium were associated with RKFD in T2D. Metal mixtures was associated with an increased risk of RKFD in T2D, particularly in those at high genetic risk.