Development of an algorithm combining blood-based biomarkers, fecal immunochemical test, and age for population-based colorectal cancer screening.

Background And Aims: Implementation of screening modalities has reduced the burden of colorectal cancer (CRC), but high false positive rates pose a major problem for colonoscopy capacity. We aimed to create a tailored screening algorithm that expands the fecal immunochemical test (FIT) with a blood specimen and current age to improve selection of individuals for diagnostic colonoscopy.

Methods: In this prospective multicenter study, 8 blood-based biomarkers (carcinoembryonic antigen, ferritin, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, human epididymis protein 4, Cyfra21-1, hepsin, interleukin 8, and osteoprotegerin) were investigated in 1977 FIT-positive individuals from the Danish national CRC screening program undergoing follow-up colonoscopy. Specimens were analyzed on Architect i2000, Architect c8000 (both from Abbott, Chicago, Ill, USA), or Luminex xMAP machines (MilliporeSigma, St. Louis, Mo, USA). FIT analyses and blood-based biomarker data were combined with clinical data (ie, age and colonoscopy findings) in a cross-validated logistic regression model (algorithm) benchmarked against a model solely using the FIT result (FIT model) applying different cutoffs for FIT positivity.

Results: The cohort included individuals with CRC (n = 240), adenomas (n = 938), or no neoplastic lesions (n = 799). The cross-validated algorithm combining the 8 biomarkers, quantitative FIT result, and age performed superior to the FIT model in discriminating CRC versus non-CRC individuals (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.77 vs 0.67, respectively; P < .001). When discriminating individuals with either CRC or high- or medium-risk adenomas versus low-risk adenomas or clean colorectum, the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve were 0.68 versus 0.64 for the algorithm and FIT model, respectively.

Conclusions: The algorithm presented here can improve patient allocation to colonoscopy, reducing colonoscopy burden without compromising cancer and adenoma detection rates or vice versa.