Multifractality approach of a generalized Shannon index in financial time series.

PLoS One

Department of Physics, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, D.C., Colombia.

Published: June 2024

AI Article Synopsis

  • Multifractality expands on traditional fractal concepts within systems but previously lacked an entropy-based multifractal dimension; this paper introduces a Generalized Shannon Index (GSI) to fill that gap.
  • The authors explain existing multifractality approaches, define the GSI and its partition function using techniques like temporal Theil scaling, and derive the multifractal exponent in relation to other established exponents.
  • The study validates the connection through examples like fractional Brownian motion and financial time series, proposing a model where multifractal systems are seen as local combinations of different fractional Brownian motions, and offers an algorithm to optimize moment estimation for better Hurst exponent accuracy.

Article Abstract

Multifractality is a concept that extends locally the usual ideas of fractality in a system. Nevertheless, the multifractal approaches used lack a multifractal dimension tied to an entropy index like the Shannon index. This paper introduces a generalized Shannon index (GSI) and demonstrates its application in understanding system fluctuations. To this end, traditional multifractality approaches are explained. Then, using the temporal Theil scaling and the diffusive trajectory algorithm, the GSI and its partition function are defined. Next, the multifractal exponent of the GSI is derived from the partition function, establishing a connection between the temporal Theil scaling exponent and the generalized Hurst exponent. Finally, this relationship is verified in a fractional Brownian motion and applied to financial time series. In fact, this leads us to proposing an approximation called local fractional Brownian motion approximation, where multifractal systems are viewed as a local superposition of distinct fractional Brownian motions with varying monofractal exponents. Also, we furnish an algorithm for identifying the optimal q-th moment of the probability distribution associated with an empirical time series to enhance the accuracy of generalized Hurst exponent estimation.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11192406PMC
http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0303252PLOS

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