Survival status and predictors of mortality among cervical cancer patients at oncologic centers in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: a follow up study.

Background: Cervical cancer (CC) ranks as the third most commonly diagnosed cancer and the fourth leading cause of cancer-related deaths among women globally. In Addis Ababa, there is a shortage of available evidence concerning the phenomenon of survival time and its predictors among women diagnosed with CC. Therefore, this study aimed to assess the survival status and predictors of mortality among CC patients at oncologic centers in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Methods: A facility-based retrospective cohort study was conducted among records of women with cervical cancer enrolled from the 1st of January 2017 to the 30th of December 2022 among 252 cervical cancer patients. Data were collected using a pretested, structured data collection checklist by trained data collectors. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve was used to estimate the survival time of the respondents. The Cox multivariable regression model was carried out to identify predictors of CC. Variables with P-value < 0.05 in multivariable analysis were declared as statistically significant.

Results: The cumulative proportion of surviving at the end of the 10th and 20th month was 99.6% (95%CI: 97.02, 99.94) and 96.99% (95%CI: 93.41, 98.64), respectively. Similarly, it was 92.67% (95%CI: 87.65, 95.70), 85.9% (95%CI: 78.68, 90.94), 68.0% (95%CI: 57.14, 76.66) and 18.27% (8.38, 31.16) at the end of 30th, 40th, 50th and 60th monthly respectively. The overall median survival time was 54 months (95%CI: 52.6, 55.4). The incidence of death among a cohort of women with CC was 7.34 per 1000 person months. Being anemic (AHR: 4.77; 95%CI: 1.93, 11.77; P-value: 0.001), took a single cancer treatment (AHR: 1.92; 95%CI: 1.01, 3.64; P-value: 0.046) and HIV sero status positive (AHR: 2.05; 95%CI: 1.01, 4.19; P-value: 0.048) were statistically significant in multivariable cox proportional hazard model.

Conclusion And Recommendation: Anemia, treatment initiation and HIV-sero status were independent predictors of mortality among women admitted with CC. It is imperative to enhance early screening initiatives and treatment resources for CC, alongside fostering public awareness through collaboration with various media outlets concerning preventive measures, screening procedures, and treatment alternatives for CC.