AI Article Synopsis
- The study investigated the link between excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic and political partisanship in Brazil, focusing on death rates and election results from 2018 and 2022.
- It was found that municipalities with higher votes for former President Bolsonaro correlated with increased excess deaths during the pandemic years of 2020 and 2021.
- Despite the rising mortality rates, support for Bolsonaro did not waver in the 2022 elections, reflecting Brazil's tribal politics and strong emotional ties to political groups.
Article Abstract
We evaluated the hypothesis of an association between excess mortality and political partisanship in Brazil using municipal death certificates registered in the Brazilian Ministry of Health database and first-round electoral results of Presidential elections in 2018 and 2022. Considering the former Brazilian President's stance of discrediting and neglecting the severity of the pandemic, we expect a possible relationship between excessive mortality rates during the COVID-19 health crisis and the number of municipal votes for Bolsonaro. Our results showed that, in both elections, the first-round percentage of municipal votes for Bolsonaro was positively associated with the peaks of excess deaths across Brazilian municipalities in 2020 and 2021. Despite the excess mortality during the pandemic, the political loyalty to Bolsonaro remained the same during the electoral period of 2022. A possible explanation for this is linked to the Brazilian political scenario, which presents an environment of tribal politics and affective polarization.
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| http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11178372 | PMC |
| http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0102-311XEN194723 | DOI Listing |
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