A new computed tomography score-based staging for melioidosis pneumonia to predict progression.

Background: Melioidosis pneumonia, caused by the bacterium , is a serious infectious disease prevalent in tropical regions. Chest computed tomography (CT) has emerged as a valuable tool for assessing the severity and progression of lung involvement in melioidosis pneumonia. However, there persists a need for the quantitative assessment of CT characteristics and staging methodologies to precisely anticipate disease progression. This study aimed to quantitatively extract CT features and evaluate a CT score-based staging system in predicting the progression of melioidosis pneumonia.

Methods: This study included 97 patients with culture-confirmed melioidosis pneumonia who presented between January 2002 and December 2021. Lung segmentation and annotation of lesions (consolidation, nodules, and cavity) were used for feature extraction. The features, including the involved area, amount, and intensity, were extracted. The CT scores of the lesion features were defined by the feature importance weight and qualitative stage of melioidosis pneumonia. Gaussian process regression (GPR) was used to predict patients with severe or critical melioidosis pneumonia according to CT scores.

Results: The melioidosis pneumonia stages included acute stage (0-7 days), subacute stage (8-28 days), and chronic stage (>28 days). In the acute stage, the CT scores of all patients ranged from 2.5 to 6.5. In the subacute stage, the CT scores for the severe and mild patients were 3.0-7.0 and 2.0-5.0, respectively. In the chronic stage, the CT score of the mild patients fluctuated approximately between 2.5 and 3.5 in a linear distribution. Consolidation was the most common type of lung lesion in those with melioidosis pneumonia. Between stages I and II, the percentage of severe scans with nodules dropped from 72.22% to 47.62% (P<0.05), and the percentage of severe scans with cavities significantly increased from 16.67% to 57.14% (P<0.05). The GPR optimization function yielded area under the receiver operating characteristic curves of 0.71 for stage I, 0.92 for stage II, and 0.87 for all stages.

Conclusions: In patients with melioidosis pneumonia, it is reasonable to divide the period (the whole progression of melioidosis pneumonia) into three stages to determine the prognosis.