CVD incidence and mortality among people with diabetes and/or hypertension: Results from the English longitudinal study of ageing.

Background And Aims: Diabetes and/or hypertension are the most common conditions in older people, and also related to higher cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence and mortality. This study aims to explore the risk of CVD incidence and mortality among older people with diabetes and/or hypertension over a 16 years follow-up period and investigates the role of depression and obesity in these relationships.

Methods: 6,855 participants aged 50+ from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA). The main exposure is having diabetes and/or hypertension at baseline (2002/2003) compared to not having, but excluded those with coronary heart disease (CHD) and/or stroke (CVD). Survival models are used for CVD incidence and mortality up to 2018, adjusted for socio-demographic, health, health behaviours, cognitive function, and physical function characteristics.

Results: 39.3% of people at baseline had diabetes and/or hypertension. The risk of CVD incidence was 1.7 (95%CI: 1.5; 1.9) higher among people with diabetes and/or hypertension compared to those without and was independent of covariates adjustment. People with diabetes and/or hypertension were also 1.3 (95%CI: 1.1; 1.8) times more likely to die from CVD than those without. We did not find evidence for an elevated risk of CVD incidence and mortality among people with obesity nor among those with depression.

Conclusions: In order to effectively reduce the risk of CVD incidence and mortality among older people, treatment as well as management of hypertension and diabetes should be routinely considered for older people with diabetes and/or hypertension.