A modified viscous flow law for natural glacier ice: Scaling from laboratories to ice sheets.

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A

Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge 02139, MA.

Published: June 2024

Glacier flow modulates sea level and is governed largely by the viscous deformation of ice. Multiple molecular-scale mechanisms facilitate viscous deformation, but it remains unclear how each contributes to glacier-scale deformation. Here, we present a model of ice deformation that bridges laboratory and glacier scales, unifies existing estimates of the viscous parameters, and provides a framework for estimating the parameters from observations and incorporating flow laws derived from laboratory observations into glacier-flow models. Our results yield a map of the dominant deformation mechanisms in the Antarctic Ice Sheet, showing that, contrary to long-standing assumptions, dislocation creep, characterized by a value of the stress exponent [Formula: see text], likely dominates in all fast-flowing areas. This increase from the canonical value of [Formula: see text] dramatically alters the climate conditions under which marine ice sheets may become unstable and drive rapid rates of sea-level rise.

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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11164037PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2309788121DOI Listing

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