Cost-effectiveness of incentives for physical activity in coronary heart disease in Germany: pre-trial health economic model of a complex intervention following the new MRC framework.

BMJ Open Sport Exerc Med

Institute for Health Services Research and Health Economics, Centre for Health and Society, Medical Faculty and University Hospital Düsseldorf, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf, Germany.

Published: May 2024

Objectives: The German Incentives for Physical Activity in Cardiac Patients trial is a three-arm, randomised controlled trial for secondary prevention of coronary heart disease (CHD). Guidance for developing complex interventions recommends pre-trial health economic modelling. The aim of this study is to model the long-term cost-effectiveness of the incentive-based physical activity interventions in a population with CHD.

Methods: A decision-analytical Markov model was developed from a health services provider perspective, following a cohort aged 65 years with a previous myocardial infarction for 25 years. Monetary and social incentives were compared relative to no incentive. Intervention effects associated with physical activity were used to determine the costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained, incremental cost-effectiveness and cost-utility ratios. The probability of cost-effectiveness was calculated through sensitivity analyses.

Results: The incremental QALYs gained from the monetary and social incentives, relative to control, were respectively estimated at 0.01 (95% CI 0.00 to 0.01) and 0.04 (95% CI 0.02 to 0.05). Implementation of the monetary and social incentive interventions increased the costs by €874 (95% CI €744 to €1047) and €909 (95% CI €537 to €1625). Incremental cost-utility ratios were €25 912 (95% CI €15 056 to €50 210) and €118 958 (95% CI €82 930 to €196 121) per QALY gained for the social and monetary incentive intervention, respectively. With a willingness-to-pay threshold set at €43 000/QALY, equivalent to the per-capita gross domestic product in Germany, the probability that the social and monetary incentive intervention would be seen as cost-effective was 95% and 0%, respectively.

Conclusions: Exercise-based secondary prevention using inventive schemes may offer a cost-effective strategy to reduce the burden of CHD.

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http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11131112PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjsem-2024-001896DOI Listing

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