Contemporary burden and trends of opioid-overdose mortality in New York State.

Background: Limited research exists on contemporary opioid overdose mortality burden and trends in New York State, with most studies focusing on New York City. This study aimed to assess opioid overdose burden and death trends in New York State by age, sex, race/ethnicity, geographic area, opioid type, and overdose intent from 1999 to 2020.

Methods: Mortality data were obtained from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's WONDER database. Opioid overdose decedents were identified using relevant International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision codes. Joinpoint regression analyzed trends, estimating annual and average annual percentage changes in age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR). 95% confidence intervals were derived using the Parametric Method.

Results: From 1999 to 2020, New York State recorded 34,109 opioid overdose deaths (AAMR = 7.9 per 100,000 persons; 95% CI: 7.8-7.9). The overall trend increased by 12.6% per year (95% CI: 10.8, 14.4) from 2004 to 2020. Subgroups exhibited varying trends, with an 11.1% yearly increase among Non-Hispanic White persons from 2007 to 2020 (95% CI: 9.0, 13.2), a 24.6% annual rise among Non-Hispanic Black persons from 2012 to 2020 (95% CI: 17.7, 31.8), and an 18.3% increase yearly among Hispanic individuals from 2011 to 2020 (95% CI: 14.0, 22.9). Recent trends have worsened in both males and females, across all age groups, in both New York City (NYC) and areas outside NYC, and for heroin, natural and semisynthetic opioids, and synthetic opioids.

Conclusions: Opioid overdose mortality in New York State has worsened significantly in the last two decades. Further research is essential to identify driving factors for targeted public health interventions.