Accuracy of Salivary Circulating Tumor Human Papillomavirus DNA in Detecting Oropharyngeal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Importance: Circulating tumor human papillomavirus DNA (ctHPV DNA) has shown potential as a biomarker capable of improving outcomes in patients with HPV-related oropharyngeal (OP) cancer. It can be isolated from plasma or saliva, with the latter offering reduced invasiveness and theoretic reduction of lead time.

Objective: To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis on the accuracy of salivary ctHPV DNA for detecting HPV-associated OP cancer.

Data Sources: Cochrane Library, Embase, PubMed, and Web of Science databases were searched from inception through October 2023.

Study Selection: All patients who underwent salivary ctHPV DNA testing at presentation for possible or diagnosed HPV-related OP cancer were included. Non-English and review publications were excluded. Two authors independently voted on article inclusion with a third resolving conflicting votes.

Data Extraction And Synthesis: Following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) reporting guidelines, multiple authors independently abstracted data and assessed bias of included articles. Bivariate random-effects meta-analysis was performed with I2 to assess for study heterogeneity.

Main Outcomes And Measures: Sensitivities, specificities, positive likelihood ratios (PLR), negative likelihood ratios (NLR), and diagnostic odds ratios (DOR) with 95% CIs alongside area under the curve (AUC) of a summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curve were calculated. The initial analysis took place throughout December 2023.

Results: Of 440 initially identified articles, 6 met inclusion criteria and demonstrated moderate heterogeneity (I2 = 36%) with low risk of bias and low applicability concerns. Overall, 263 total patients were included with a median (range) age of 58 (39-86) years, and 228 (87%) were male patients. Per updated prognostic staging criteria, localized tumors (ie, stages 1 or 2) comprised most cancers at 139 (77%), whereas advanced ones (ie, stages 3 or 4) comprised the remaining 41 (23%). Pooled sensitivity, specificity, PLR, NLR, and DOR values were 64% (95% CI, 36%-85%), 89% (95% CI, 46%-99%), 11.70 (95% CI, 0.37-77.00), 1.21 (95% CI, 0.08-7.00), and 139.00 (95% CI, 0.05-837.00), respectively. The AUC of the SROC curve was 0.80.

Conclusions And Relevance: This study supports salivary ctHPV DNA as an acceptably specific test in detecting HPV-associated OP cancer that would benefit from testing in clinical trials prior to real-time implementation.