Pathomic model based on histopathological features and machine learning to predict IDO1 status and its association with breast cancer prognosis.

Purpose: To establish a pathomic model using histopathological image features for predicting indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase 1 (IDO1) status and its relationship with overall survival (OS) in breast cancer.

Methods: A pathomic model was constructed using machine learning and histopathological images obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas database to predict IDO1 expression. The model performance was evaluated based on the area under the curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Prediction scores (PSes) were generated from the model and applied to divide the patients into two groups. Survival outcomes, gene set enrichment, immune microenvironment, and tumor mutations were assessed between the two groups.

Results: Survival analysis followed by multivariate correction revealed that high IDO1 is a protective factor for OS. Further, the model was calibrated, and it exhibited good discrimination. Additionally, the DCA showed that the proposed model provided a good clinical net benefit. The Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed a positive correlation between high PS and improved OS. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses demonstrated that PS is an independent protective factor for OS. Moreover, differentially expressed genes were enriched in various essential biological processes, including extracellular matrix receptor interaction, angiogenesis, transforming growth factor β signaling, epithelial mesenchymal transition, cell junction, tryptophan metabolism, and heme metabolic processes. PS was positively correlated with M1 macrophages, CD8 + T cells, T follicular helper cells, and tumor mutational burden.

Conclusion: These results indicate the potential ability of the proposed pathomic model to predict IDO1 status and the OS of breast cancer patients.