Effect of mean platelet volume and platelet count on the prognosis of branch atheromatous disease.

Objective: The purpose of this study was to investigate the predictive value of mean platelet volume (MPV) and platelet count (PC) in branch atheromatous disease (BAD).

Methods: This retrospective study included 216 patients with BAD-stroke within 48 h of symptom onset. These patients were divided into good and poor prognosis groups according to their 3-month modified Rankin scale scores after discharge. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate independent predictors of poor prognosis in BAD-stroke patients. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to estimate the predictive value of MPV and PC on BAD-stroke.

Results: Our research showed that a higher MPV (aOR, 2.926; 95% CI, 2.040-4.196; p < .001) and PC (aOR, 1.013; 95% CI, 1.005-1.020; p = .001) were independently associated with poor prognosis after adjustment for confounders. The ROC analysis of MPV for predicting poor prognosis showed that the sensitivity and specificity were 74% and 84.9%, respectively, and that the AUC was .843 (95% CI, .776-.909, p < .001). The optimal cut-off value was 12.35. The incidence of early neurological deterioration (END) was 24.5% (53 of 163), and 66% of patients in the poor prognosis group had END (33 of 50). Multiple logistic regression analyses showed that elevated MPV and PC were associated with the occurrence of END (p < .05).

Conclusion: Our results suggested that an elevated MPV and PC may be important in predicting a worse outcome in BAD-stroke patients. Our study also demonstrated an independent association of MPV and PC with END, which is presumably the main reason for the poor prognosis.