A systematic review of population-based studies on metachronous metastases of colorectal cancer.

Background: The occurrence of metachronous metastases (MM) of colorectal (CRC), colon (CC), and rectal (RC) cancer of population-based studies has not been compiled in a systematic review previously.

Methods: MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane Library were searched for primary studies of any design from inception until January 2021 and updated in August 2023 (CRD42021261648). The PRISMA guidelines were adopted, and the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale used for risk of bias assessment. Outcomes on overall and organ-specific MM were extracted. A narrative analysis followed.

Results: Out of 2143 unique hits, 162 publications were read in full-text and 37 population-based cohort studies published in 1981-2022 were included. Ten studies adopted time-dependent analyses; eight were registry-based and seven had a low risk of bias. Three studies reported 5-year recurrence rate of MM overall of stages I-III; for CRC, it was 20.5%, for CC, it was 18% and 25.6%, and for RC, it was 23%. Four studies reported 5-year recurrence rate of organ-specific MM of stages I-III-for CRC, it was 2.2% and 5.5% for peritoneal metastases and 5.8% for lung metastases and for CC 4.5% for peritoneal metastases. Twenty-seven studies reported proportions of patients diagnosed with MM, but data on the length of follow-up was incomplete and varied widely. Proportions of patients with CRC stages I-III that developed MM overall was 14.4%-26.1% in 10 studies. In relation to the enrollment period, a downward trend may be discernible.

Conclusion: Studies adopting a more appropriate analysis were highly heterogeneous, whereas uncertain data of partly inadequate studies may indicate that MM are overall declining.