Prognostic Value of Stress Myocardial Perfusion Imaging Across the Spectrum of Cardiovascular Risk.

Background: Single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) is widely used to identify ischemia. There is limited research to evaluate if there is a risk threshold below which SPECT-MPI may not add significant prognostic value.

Methods: Between January 1, 2012, and December 31, 2018, individuals who underwent SPECT-MPI were stratified into 4 risk groups. The primary outcome was acute myocardial infarction (MI) or death. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to calculated hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results: Among 48,845 patients (52.3% male, median age 67 years), 8.5% were low risk, 4.8% borderline risk, 18.1% intermediate risk, and 68.6% high risk based on the American College of Cardiology pooled cohort equation. Ischemia was more commonly detected in the high-risk cohort (19.4% in high-risk vs 6.5% in low-risk). SPECT-MPI testing was associated with a significantly increased use of preventive medications such as statin therapy, regardless of stress test results. At a median follow-up of 4.2 years, there was no significant association between ischemia and death or MI in the low-risk cohort (adjusted HR, 1.91; 95% CI, 0.94-3.92) or the borderline-risk cohort (adjusted HR, 1.58; 95% CI, 0.79-3.15). Ischemia was associated with a higher risk of death or MI in the intermediate-risk (adjusted HR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.24-1.99) and high-risk groups (adjusted HR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.44-1.64).

Conclusions: SPECT-MPI was less useful for risk stratification among low-risk patients because of their low event rates regardless of test results.