The value of combined detection D-dimer and NLR in judging the severity and short-term prognosis of acute cardiogenic cerebral embolism in elderly patients.

Objective: To assess the utility of combined neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and D-dimer detection in determining the severity and short-term prognosis of acute cardiogenic cerebral embolism (ACCE) in older adults.

Methods: We selected 202 elderly non-valvular atrial fibrillation patients hospitalized at the Third Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University from April 1, 2020, to April 1, 2023. They were divided into an observation group (69 cases combined with ACCE) and a control group (133 cases with non-valvular atrial fibrillation alone) based on whether acute cardioembolic cerebral embolism occurred. According to the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), the observation group was divided into a mild cerebral infarction group (MICI group), a moderate cerebral infarction group (MOCI group), and a severe cerebral infarction group (SCI group), with 26 cases, 29 cases, and 14 cases, respectively. According to the modified Rankin scale (mRS), after 3 months, 30 cases were divided into the good prognosis group and 39 cases were divided into the poor prognosis group. We detected and compared the differences in D-dimer and NLR levels among different groups of patients, as well as differences in some important laboratory indicators. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors influencing the short-term prognosis of patients with acute cardioembolic cerebral infarction, and ROC curves were plotted to evaluate the value of D-dimer and NLR in predicting the short-term prognosis of patients with acute cardioembolic cerebral infarction.

Results: The levels of D-dimer and NLR in peripheral blood in SCI group [1.82 (0.58-6.71) mg/l, 4.55 (3.14,7.21)] were higher than those in MOCI group [1.16 (0.65-1.90) mg/l, 3.84 (2.31,6.68)] and MICI group [0.53 (0.32-0.90) mg/l, 2.46 (2.09-3.79)]. The difference between groups was statistically significant (P < 0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that D-dimer and NLR were independent risk factors for poor prognosis in patients with acute cardiogenic cerebral embolism (OR values were 1.772 and 1.603, and 95 %CI were 1.060-2.963 and 1.100-2.338, respectively, both P < 0.05). The AUC for the prediction of poor prognosis in acute cardioembolic stroke by combining D-dimer and NLR was 0.812 [95 % CI: 0.710-0.914], higher than the individual detections of D-dimer at 0.756 [95% CI: 0.642-0.869] and NLR at 0.733 [95 % CI: 0.613-0.854].

Conclusion: Peripheral blood D-dimer combined with NLR detection is helpful for the risk stratification and short-term prognosis assessment of patients with acute cardiogenic cerebral embolism. Clinical detection is of great significance for the prevention and monitoring of disease development.