Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors and the Risk for Dialysis and Cardiovascular Disease in Patients With Stage 5 Chronic Kidney Disease.

Background: No studies have reported the long-term outcomes of initiating sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) in patients with estimated glomerular filtration rates less than 20 mL/min/1.73 m to predialysis.

Objective: To compare the risk for dialysis, cardiovascular events, and death between SGLT2i users and nonusers in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and stage 5 chronic kidney disease (CKD).

Design: Target trial emulation study.

Setting: Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD).

Participants: By applying sequential target trial emulation principle, 23 854 SGLT2i users and 23 892 SGLT2i nonusers were selected from the NHIRD for patients with T2D and stage 5 CKD from 1 May 2016 to 31 October 2021.

Measurements: Conditional Cox proportional hazards models were used to compare the risks for dialysis, hospitalization for heart failure, acute myocardial infarction (AMI), diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA), acute kidney injury (AKI), and all-cause mortality between SGLT2i users and nonusers.

Results: In the intention-to-treat model, compared with no SGLT2i use, SGLT2i use was associated with lower risks for dialysis (hazard ratio [HR], 0.34 [95% CI, 0.27 to 0.43]), hospitalization for heart failure (HR, 0.80 [CI, 0.73 to 0.86]), AMI (HR, 0.61 [CI, 0.52 to 0.73]), DKA (HR, 0.78 [CI, 0.71 to 0.85]), and AKI (HR, 0.80 [CI, 0.70 to 0.90]), but there was no difference in the risk for all-cause mortality (HR, 1.11 [CI, 0.99 to 1.24]). The Kaplan-Meier curves and subgroup analyses also showed that initiation of an SGLT2i in stage 5 CKD was associated with a lower risk for long-term dialysis than no SGLT2i use.

Limitation: This result may not apply to patients without T2D.

Conclusion: This emulated target trial showed that SGLT2i use was associated with a lower risk for dialysis, cardiovascular events, DKA, and AKI than no SGLT2i use in patients with T2D and stage 5 CKD.

Primary Funding Source: National Health Research Institutes, Taiwan.