Hemodynamic gain index and risk of ventricular arrhythmias: a prospective cohort study.

Hemodynamic gain index (HGI), a novel hemodynamic index obtained from cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPX), is associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes. However, its specific relationship with ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) is unknown. We aimed to assess the association of HGI with risk of VAs in a prospective study. Hemodynamic gain index was estimated using heart rate and systolic blood pressure (SBP) responses ascertained in 1945 men aged 42-61 years during CPX from rest to maximum exercise, using the formula: [(Heart rate x SBP) - (Heart rate x SBP)]/(Heart rate x SBP). Cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) was measured using respiratory gas exchange analysis. Hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence intervals, CIs) were estimated for VAs. Over a median follow-up duration of 28.2 years, 75 cases of VA were recorded. In analysis adjusted for established risk factors, a unit (bpm/mmHg) higher HGI was associated with a decreased risk of VA (HR 0.72, 95% CI: 0.55-0.95). The results remained consistent on adjustment for lifestyle factors and comorbidities (HR 0.72, 95% CI: 0.55-0.93). Comparing the top versus bottom tertiles of HGI, the corresponding adjusted HRs (95% CIs) were 0.51 (0.27-0.96) and 0.52 (0.28-0.94), respectively. The associations were attenuated on addition of CRF to the model. HGI improved risk discrimination beyond established risk factors but not CRF. Higher HGI is associated with a reduced risk of VAs in middle-aged and older Caucasian men, but dependent on CRF levels. Furthermore, HGI improves the prediction of the long-term risk for VAs beyond established risk factors but not CRF.