Identification of a Gene Expression Signature to Predict the Risk of Early Recurrence and the Degree of Immune Cell Infiltration in Triple-negative Breast Cancer.

Background/aim: Patients with triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) have a high rate of recurrence within 3 years of diagnosis and a high rate of death within 5 years compared to other subtypes. The number of clinical trials investigating various new agents and combination therapies has recently increased; however, current strategies benefit only a minority of patients. This study aimed to identify specific genes that predict patients at high risk of recurrence and the immune status of the tumor microenvironment at an early stage, thereby providing insight into potential therapeutic targets to improve clinical outcomes in TNBC patients.

Materials And Methods: We evaluated the prognostic significance of microarray mRNA expression of 20,603 genes in 233 TNBC patients from the METABRIC dataset and further validated the results using RNA-seq mRNA expression data in 143 TNBC patients from the GSE96058 dataset.

Results: Eighteen differentially expressed genes (AKNA, ARHGAP30, CA9, CD3D, CD3G, CD6, CXCR6, CYSLTR1, DOCK10, ENO1, FLT3LG, IFNG, IL2RB, LPXN, PRKCB, PVRIG, RASSF5, and STAT4) identified in both datasets were found to be reliable biomarkers for predicting TNBC recurrence and progression. Notably, the genes whose low expression was associated with increased risk of recurrence and death were immune-related genes, with significant differences in levels of immune cell infiltration in the tumor microenvironment between high- and low- expression groups.

Conclusion: Genes reported herein may be effective biomarkers to identify TNBC patients who will and will not benefit from immunotherapy and may be particularly important genes for developing future treatment strategies, including immunotherapy.