Predictors of recurrence in breast cancer patients with pathological partial response.

Objective: Patients with residual disease after neoadjuvant chemotherapy have a relative risk of developing recurrence. This study investigates the risk factors for recurrence in locally advanced breast cancer patients with residual disease and evaluates survival analysis.

Methods: This is a retrospective, single-center study. Breast cancer patients who failed to achieve a pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemotherapy were included. Demographic, clinicopathological, and treatment characteristics were evaluated to identify predictive factors of recurrence and survival analysis.

Results: We included 205 patients in this study. After a median of 31 months of follow-up, 10 patients died, and 20 developed distant metastasis. Disease-free survival and disease-specific survival were 73.8% and 83.1%, respectively. Lymphovascular invasion and non-luminal subtype were independent predictors of locoregional recurrence. In situ carcinoma, lymphovascular invasion, ypTIII stage, and non-luminal molecular subtypes were independent predictors of disease-free survival. The only independent factor affecting disease-specific survival was cNII-III. The number of involved lymph nodes was an independent predictor of disease-free survival in patients without complete axillary response.

Conclusion: Factors affecting disease-specific survival and disease-free survival were cNII-III and the number of involved lymph nodes, respectively. Patients with non-luminal, large residual tumors with in situ carcinoma, lymphovascular invasion, clinically positive axilla, and residual nodal involvement have a high relative risk for recurrence and may benefit from additional treatments.