Investigation on the relationship between serum periostin, MMP-7, TGF-β, and IL-18 levels and the clinical course and prognosis of COVID-19.

Objective: Cytokines are involved in the inflammatory/anti-inflammatory balance and have been shown to play an important role in the course of COVID-19. This study aimed to evaluate the relationship of periostin, transforming growth factor-beta (TGF-β), interleukin-18 (IL-18), and matrix metalloproteinase 7 (MMP-7) levels with clinical course and mortality in patients with early COVID-19 pneumonia.

Patients And Methods: A total of 150 hospitalized patients were diagnosed with COVID-19 between June and October 2021, and a control group of 30 healthy individuals were included in our study. The COVID-19 patients were divided into those who developed macrophage activation syndrome (MAS) in Group 1 and those who did not in Group 2. Serum periostin, MMP-7, TGF-β, and IL-18 levels were measured from blood samples obtained at admission using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA).

Results: Periostin, MMP-7, and IL-18 levels were significantly higher in COVID-19 patients compared to the control group (p<0.001 for all). Periostin and MMP-7 levels were also significantly higher in Group 1 than in Group 2 (p<0.001 for both). Periostin, MMP-7, IL-18, and TGF-β levels were significantly higher in non-surviving patients compared to survivors (p=0.04, p<0.001, p<0.001, and p<0.001, respectively). In the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, MMP-7 was found to have high sensitivity (90%) at a predictive value of 2.66 ng/mL.

Conclusions: It is still not possible to predict which patients with early COVID-19 pneumonia will go on to develop MAS despite receiving standard treatment. The results of our study suggest that elevation of periostin and MMP-7 levels in the early period may predict the development of macrophage activation syndrome.