Modeling of COVID-19 Cases in Pakistan Using Lifetime Probability Distributions.

Ann Data Sci

Institute of Mathematical Science and Computing, University of São Paulo, São Carlos, SP Brazil.

Published: May 2021

The Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) is a respiratory disease that caused a large number of deaths all over the world since its outbreak. The World Health Organization (WHO) has declared the outbreak a global pandemic. The understanding of the random process related to the behavior infection of COVID-19 is an important health and economic problem. In the proposed study, we analyze the frequency of daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 using different two-parameter lifetime probability distributions. We consider the data from the period of March 11, 2020, to July 25, 2020, of Pakistan. We consider nine lifetime probability distributions for the analysis purpose and the selection of best fit was carried out using log-likelihood, AIC, BIC, RMSE, and R goodness-of-fit measures. Results indicate that Weibull distribution provides generally the best-fit probability distribution.

Download full-text PDF

Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8095477PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40745-021-00338-9DOI Listing

Publication Analysis

Top Keywords

lifetime probability
12
probability distributions
12
modeling covid-19
4
covid-19 cases
4
cases pakistan
4
pakistan lifetime
4
probability
4
distributions coronavirus
4
coronavirus disease
4
disease covid-19
4

Similar Publications

Cost Effectiveness of Exclusionary EGFR Testing for Taiwanese Patients Newly Diagnosed with Advanced Lung Adenocarcinoma.

Pharmacoeconomics

January 2025

Division of Pulmonology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, 138 Shengli Road, Tainan, 704, Taiwan.

Background And Objective: Approximately half of lung adenocarcinomas in East Asia harbor epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutations. EGFR testing followed by tissue-based next-generation sequencing (NGS), upfront tissue-based NGS, and complementary NGS approaches have emerged on the front line to guide personalized therapy. We study the cost effectiveness of exclusionary EGFR testing for Taiwanese patients newly diagnosed with advanced lung adenocarcinoma.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Basic Science and Pathogenesis.

Alzheimers Dement

December 2024

Boston University Alzheimer's Disease Research Center, Boston University Chobanian & Avedisian School of Medicine, Boston, MA, USA.

Background: Alzheimer's disease (AD) has both genetic and environmental risk factors. Gene-environment interaction may help explain some missing heritability. There is strong evidence for cigarette smoking as a risk factor for AD.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: Cognitive Reserve(CR) a concept based on the brain plasticity, is a mechanism that delays or minimizes clinical manifestations of brain changes due to aging. Prospective epidemiologic studies non-demented individuals have shown that education, occupational duration and complexity, and greater lifetime engagement in cognitively stimulating activities are associated with a reduced risk of dementia. We study the cognitive reserve and its neuroimaging correlate.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

This study assessed the prevalence rates, construct validity, predictors, and psychosocial factors linked to ICD-11 posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and complex PTSD (CPTSD), as assessed by the (ITQ) in a German-speaking sample of Swiss older adults. Participants were  = 1526 older adults aged 65+ ( = 72.34;  = 6.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Longitudinal changes in remnant cholesterol and the risk of cardiovascular disease.

Cardiovasc Diabetol

January 2025

Department of Epidemiology, Beijing Neurosurgical Institute, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 119 S 4th Ring W Rd, Fengtai District, Beijing, 100070, China.

Background And Aim: The analyses of longitudinal changes in remnant cholesterol (RC) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains are limited. The objective of the study was to investigate the associations of longitudinal changes in RC with the risks of CVD and its subtypes (myocardial infarction [MI] and stroke).

Methods And Results: The participants were enrolled in the Kailuan study.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Want AI Summaries of new PubMed Abstracts delivered to your In-box?

Enter search terms and have AI summaries delivered each week - change queries or unsubscribe any time!