Cost-Utility Analysis of Vericiguat in Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction After Worsening Heart Failure Events in China.

Objective: Vericiguat is a new medication to demonstrate clinical efficacy in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) after worsening heart failure (WHF) events, but its cost-utility was unknown. We aimed to assess the cost-utility of combining the application of vericiguat with standard treatment in HFrEF patients who had WHF events.

Methods: A multistate Markov model was implemented to mimic the economic results of HFrEF patients who had WHF events in China after receiving vericiguat or placebo. An analysis of cost-utility was conducted; most parameters were set according to the published studies and related databases. All the utilities and costs were decreased at a rate of 5% annually. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were the primary outcome measure. We also conducted sensitivity analyses.

Results: Over a 20 year lifetime horizon, additional use of vericiguat led to an elevated cost from US$9725.03 to US$20,660.76 at the current vericiguat costs. This was related to increased quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) from 2.50 to 2.66, along with an ICER of US$65,057.24 per QALY, which was over the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of US$36,096.30 per QALY. If the vericiguat costs were discounted at 80%, it contributed to an ICER of US$12,226.77 per QALY. Additional use of vericiguat for patients with plasma N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) of ≤ 5314 pg per ml produced an ICER of US$23,688.46 per QALY. The outcomes of the one-way sensitivity analysis showed the risk of death from cardiovascular disease in both groups was variable with the highest sensitivity. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that 41.6% of the mimicked population receiving vericiguat combined with standard therapy was cost-effective at the WTP threshold of US$36,096.30 per QALY.

Conclusions: From the perspective of Chinese public healthcare system, the combined use of vericiguat and standard treatment in patients with HFrEF following WHF events did not generate advantages in cost-utility in China but was a cost-effective therapeutic strategy for those who with plasma NT-proBNP of ≤ 5314 pg per ml.