AI Article Synopsis

  • With COVID-19 vaccinations becoming optional for many organizations, individuals now have the choice to receive new booster shots or updated vaccines.
  • A Markov model was created to analyze the clinical and economic outcomes for individuals in the U.S. regarding annual COVID-19 vaccinations versus not getting vaccinated.
  • For individuals aged 18-49, getting vaccinated could save up to $603 if uninsured, while those aged 50-64 could save even more, with both groups benefiting from vaccination under certain conditions of infection risk and vaccine efficacy.

Article Abstract

Background: With coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination no longer mandated by many businesses/organizations, it is now up to individuals to decide whether to get any new boosters/updated vaccines going forward.

Methods: We developed a Markov model representing the potential clinical/economic outcomes from an individual perspective in the United States of getting versus not getting an annual COVID-19 vaccine.

Results: For an 18-49 year old, getting vaccinated at its current price ($60) can save the individual on average $30-$603 if the individual is uninsured and $4-$437 if the individual has private insurance, as long as the starting vaccine efficacy against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection is ≥50% and the weekly risk of getting infected is ≥0.2%, corresponding to an individual interacting with 9 other people in a day under Winter 2023-2024 Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant conditions with an average infection prevalence of 10%. For a 50-64 year old, these cost-savings increase to $111-$1278 and $119-$1706 for someone without and with insurance, respectively. The risk threshold increases to ≥0.4% (interacting with 19 people/day), when the individual has 13.4% preexisting protection against infection (eg, vaccinated 9 months earlier).

Conclusions: There is both clinical and economic incentive for the individual to continue to get vaccinated against COVID-19 each year.

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Source
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11326810PMC
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiae179DOI Listing

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