Serious Mental Illness in Assisted Living Communities: Association with Nursing Home Placement.

Objectives: Assess prevalence of serious mental illness (SMI) alone, and co-occurring with Alzheimer disease and related dementias (ADRD), among Medicare beneficiaries in assisted living (AL). Examine the association between permanent nursing home (NH) placement and SMI, among residents with and without ADRD.

Design: 2018-2019 retrospective cohort of Medicare beneficiaries in AL. Residents were followed for up to 2 years to track their NH placement. We used data from the Medicare Enrollment Database, the Medicare Beneficiary Summary File, Minimum Data Set, and a national directory of state-licensed AL communities. AL residents were identified using a validated, previously reported 9-digit zip code methodology.

Setting And Participants: A cross-sectional study sample included 289,350 Medicare beneficiaries in 17,265 AL communities across 50 states and in the District of Columbia.

Methods: The outcome was permanent NH placement: a continuous stay for more than 90 days. Key independent variable was presence of SMI-schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, and major depression. Other covariates included sociodemographic factors and presence of other chronic conditions, including ADRD. A linear probability model with robust SEs, and AL-level random effects, was used to test the association between SMI diagnoses, ADRD, and their interactions on NH placement.

Results: More than half (55.65%) of AL residents had a diagnosis of SMI, among them 93.2% had major depression, 28.5% schizophrenia, and 22.2% bipolar disorder. Individuals with schizophrenia and bipolar disorder had a significantly lower probability of NH placement, a 32% and a 15% decrease relative to the cohort mean, respectively. Placement risk was significantly greater for residents with ADRD compared to those without, increasing for those who also had schizophrenia or bipolar disorder, 12.9% and 1.5% relative to the sample mean, respectively.

Conclusion And Implications: Presence of schizophrenia and bipolar disorder, in conjunction with ADRD, significantly increases the risk of long-term NH placement, suggesting that ALs may not be well prepared to care for these residents.