Prevalence and secular trends in premetabolic syndrome in the United States: Findings from 1999-2020 nationally representative data of adults.

Purpose: Although Premetabolic syndrome (PeMetSyn) is a precursor for metabolic syndrome (MetSyn), its prevalence and trends are unknown. This study examined the prevalence and trends in PreMetSyn and its association with sociodemographic risk factors in American adults.

Methods: The 1999-2000 to 2017-2020 United States National Health and Nutritional Health Surveys (NHANES) data were used. PreMetSyn was defined as co-occurrence two cardiometabolic risk factors consisting of abdominal obesity, elevated triglycerides, reduced HDL-C, elevated blood pressure, and fasting plasma glucose. We calculated sex-specific overall prevalence of PreMetSyn and by race/ethnicity, age, education, poverty, and body mass index (BMI) categories. Sex-specific logistic regression models were used to test the association between sociodemographic risk factors and PreMetSyn.

Results: From 1999 - 2000 to 2017-2020, the age-adjusted overall prevalence of PreMetSyn increased by 155.4% (from 9.2% to 23.5%) in men and by 131.3% (from 11.2% to 25.9%) in women. Increases in prevalence of PreMetSyn were observed by race/ethnicity, age, education, poverty and BMI levels in men and women from 1999-2000 to 2017-2020. Survey cycle, race/ethnicity, age, education, poverty-income ratio, and BMI were independently associated with greater odds of PreMetSyn in males and females. During this period, the co-occurrence of abdominal obesity and elevated blood pressure was the most common comorbidity and increased from 20.6% to 30.8% in men and from 27.8% to 36.1% in women.

Conclusions: This nationally representative study indicates a rapid increase from 1999-2000 to 2017-2020 in the proportion of American adults who meet the criteria for PreMetSyn. Early identification of subjects with PreMetSyn in the U.S. is a public health priority for initiating effective strategies to prevent the development of MetSyn and its associated chronic diseases.