Risk factors for intubation and mortality in patients treated with high flow nasal cannula due to COVID-19 infection. Survival Analysis Study in a Northern Mexican Population.

Background: COVID-19-related acute hypoxic respiratory failure patients often use high-flow nasal cannula (HFNO) oxygen therapy. COVID-19 HFNO intubation and mortality risk factors are understudied in the Mexican population, so the aim was to study them.

Methods: This retrospective study searched electronic medical records from March 2020 to June 2022 for patients with COVID-19 who required hospitalization and HFNO. Descriptive statistics, a survival curve analysis, and Cox proportional hazard models were used to determine predictor factors for intubation and mortality in patients with HFNO and COVID-19, respectively.

Results: A total of 134 patients received HFNO treatment. Ninety-one (67.9%) were men with a mean (SD) age of 54.5 (17.9) years. Common medical history included obesity (n = 89, 66.4%) with a Body Mass Index (BMI) mean (SD) of 31.8 (5.9), hypertension (n = 67, 50.0%), type 2 diabetes (n = 55, 41.0%), and dyslipidemias (n = 43, 32.1%). The variables associated with a greater risk of requiring intubation after high-flow therapy were age (HR = 1.018, 95% CI 1.003-1.034, p = 0.022) and BMI (HR = 1.071, 95% CI 1.024-1.120, p = 0.003). No variables were associated with lower risk. Increased mortality was associated with increasing age (HR = 1.151, 95% CI 1.102-1.201, p = <0.001), hypertension (HR = 4.092, 95% CI 1.369-12.236, p = 0.012), and dyslipidemia (HR = 3.954, 95% CI 1.395-11.209, p = 0.010). Patients with type 2 diabetes had a lower risk of mortality (HR = 0.235, 95% CI 0.080-0.688, p = 0.008).

Conclusions: A higher age and BMI were associated with an increased risk of intubation in patients with HFNO and COVID-19. Hypertension and dyslipidemias were associated with a higher risk of mortality.