How resilient are farmers in Africa to climate shocks? A case study of Nigerian farmers.

Agriculture in sub-Saharan Africa remains highly vulnerable to climate related shocks, since most production relies on rainfall. It is important to accurately measure the resilience of farmers and farming communities to weather variabilities, for both government policy and farmer management responses. This paper develops a Resilience Index Framework, which is further used to assess the resilience of farmers to climate shocks in Nigeria. We conceptualized our Resilience Index (RI) in this study to be a composite function of 60 indicators encompassing four resilience domains namely, Economic & Financial Resilience (ER); Technical-know-how Resilience (TR); Social Resilience (SR); and Physical Resilience (PR). A three-stage standardization approach to construct the resilience index is taken in this study. In the first stage, each indicator is standardized. In the second stage, the resilience domain is computed by averaging the corresponding standardized indicators. In the final stage, the composite RI is computed by estimating the weighted average of all the resilience domains. The study uses the baseline survey data collected between 2021 and 2022 from a total of 5954 farmers in the rainforest, derived and guinea savannah agroecological zones of Nigeria. The result of the study shows that the majority (96.5%) of the farmers are less resilient to climate shocks, with only 0.9% economically & financially resilient, 1.4% socially resilient, 31.4% technically resilient, and 18.5% physically resilient. Finally, some recommend steps to be taken by the government and relevant stakeholders to improve the resilience of farmers through provision of good infrastructural facilities and subsidized improved resistant seed varieties are proposed.