Identifying and mitigating risk of postcardiotomy cardiogenic shock in patients with ischemic and nonischemic cardiomyopathy.

Objectives: To identify preoperative predictors of postcardiotomy cardiogenic shock in patients with ischemic and nonischemic cardiomyopathy and evaluate trajectory of postoperative ventricular function.

Methods: From January 2017 to January 2020, 238 patients with ejection fraction <30% (206/238) or 30% to 34% with at least moderately severe mitral regurgitation (32/238) underwent conventional cardiac surgery at Cleveland Clinic, 125 with ischemic and 113 with nonischemic cardiomyopathy. Preoperative ejection fraction was 25 ± 4.5%. The primary outcome was postcardiotomy cardiogenic shock, defined as need for microaxial temporary left ventricular assist device, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, or vasoactive-inotropic score >25. RandomForestSRC was used to identify its predictors.

Results: Postcardiotomy cardiogenic shock occurred in 27% (65/238). Pulmonary artery pulsatility index <3.5 and pulmonary capillary wedge pressure >19 mm Hg were the most important factors predictive of postcardiotomy cardiogenic shock in ischemic cardiomyopathy. Cardiac index <2.2 L·min m and pulmonary capillary wedge pressure >21 mm Hg were the most important predictive factors in nonischemic cardiomyopathy. Operative mortality was 1.7%. Ejection fraction at 12 months after surgery increased to 39% (confidence interval, 35-40%) in the ischemic group and 37% (confidence interval, 35-38%) in the nonischemic cardiomyopathy group.

Conclusions: Predictors of postcardiotomy cardiogenic shock were different in ischemic and nonischemic cardiomyopathy. Right heart dysfunction, indicated by low pulmonary artery pulsatility index, was the most important predictor in ischemic cardiomyopathy, whereas greater degree of cardiac decompensation was the most important in nonischemic cardiomyopathy. Therefore, preoperative right heart catheterization will help identify patients with low ejection fraction who are at greater risk of postcardiotomy cardiogenic shock.