Percent predicted peak oxygen uptake is superior to weight-indexed peak oxygen uptake in risk stratification before lung cancer lobectomy.

Objective: To improve preoperative risk stratification in lung cancer lobectomy by identifying and comparing optimal thresholds for peak oxygen uptake (VO) presented as weight-indexed and percent of predicted values, respectively.

Methods: This was a longitudinal cohort study including national registry data on patients scheduled for cancer lobectomy that used available data from preoperative cardiopulmonary exercise testing. The measured VO was indexed by body mass (mL/kg/min) and also compared with 2 established reference equations (Wasserman-Hansen and Study of Health in Pomerania, respectively). By receiver operating characteristic analysis, a lower 90% specificity and an upper 90% sensitivity threshold were determined for each measure, in relation to the outcome of any major complication or death. For each measure and based on these thresholds, patients were categorized as low risk, intermediate risk, or high risk. The frequency of complications was compared between groups using χ.

Results: The frequency of complications differed significantly between the proposed low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups when using % predicted Study of Health in Pomerania (5%, 21%, 35%, P = .007) or % predicted Wasserman-Hansen (5%, 25%, 35%, P = .002) but not when using the weight-indexed VO groups (7%, 23%, 15%, P = .08). Nonsignificant differences were found using the threshold <15 mL/kg/min (P = .34).

Conclusions: This study showed that weight-indexed VO was of less use as a marker of risk at the lower range of exercise capacity, whereas % predicted VO was associated with a continuously increasing risk of major complications, also at the lower end of exercise capacity. As identifying subjects at high risk of complications is important, % predicted VO is therefore preferable.