C-reactive protein/lymphocyte ratio as a prognostic biomarker in acute pancreatitis: a cross-sectional study assessing disease severity.

Background: The C-reactive protein/lymphocyte ratio (CLR) is a prognostic biomarker of various diseases. However, its significance in acute pancreatitis (AP) remains unknown. The main aim of this study was to investigate the association between the CLR and disease severity in patients with AP.

Methods: This cross-sectional study included 476 AP patients [mild acute pancreatitis (MAP), n =176; moderately severe acute pancreatitis (MSAP) and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), n =300]. The primary exposure of interest was the baseline CLR. The primary outcome was the incidence of moderate to severe AP. Multivariate logistic regression and restricted cubic spline analyses were performed to evaluate the association between the CLR and the incidence of moderate to severe AP. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was conducted to assess the predictive efficacy, sensitivity, and specificity of CLR in predicting the incidence of moderate to severe AP.

Results: The mean age of the patients was 44±13.2 years, and 76.5% were male. The distribution of CLR was 31.6 (interquartile range, 4.5, 101.7). Moderate to severe AP occurred in 300 cases (63.0%). After multiple adjustments, CLR was independently associated with the incidence of moderate to severe AP (odds ratio, 1.04; 95% CI: 1.03-1.05; P < 0.001). A nonlinear relationship was found between CLR and the incidence of moderate to severe AP, with a threshold of approximately 45. The effect size and CI below and above the threshold value were 1.061 (1.033-1.089) and 1.014 (0.997-1.031), respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) for CLR was 87.577% (95% CI: 84.443- 90.710%) with an optimal cut-off value of 30.835, resulting in a sensitivity of 73.7% and a specificity of 88.6%.

Conclusions: There was a nonlinear relationship with a saturation effect between the CLR and the incidence of moderate to severe AP. The CLR measured within 24 h of admission may serve as a promising biomarker for predicting the emergence of moderate to severe AP, thereby providing a more scientifically grounded basis for preventing such cases. Nonetheless, further research is warranted to validate and strengthen these findings.