Comprehensive evaluation of serum hepatic proteins in predicting prognosis among cancer patients with cachexia: an observational cohort study.

Background: Hepatic proteins, including albumin, prealbumin, and transferrin have been confirmed to be prognostic predictors in various cancers. This study aimed to comprehensively assess the prognostic value of these three serum markers in patients with cancer cachexia.

Methods: This multicenter prospective cohort study included 1303 cancer cachexia patients, among whom 592 deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 20.23 months. The definition of cachexia was based on the 2011 international consensus. Concordance index (C-index) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were applied to compare the prognostic performance. The primary outcome was overall survival, which was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method generated by log-rank test. A Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to identify independent predictors associated with survival. The secondary outcomes included 90-days mortality and quality of life (QoL).

Results: C-index and ROC curves showed that albumin had the most accurate predictive capacity for survival, followed by transferrin and prealbumin. Multivariate Cox analysis confirmed that low albumin (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.51, 95% confidence interval [95%CI] = 1.28-1.80, P < 0.001), prealbumin (HR = 1.42, 95%CI = 1.19-1.69, P < 0.001), and transferrin (HR = 1.50, 95%CI = 1.25-1.80, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for long-term survival in cancer patients with cachexia. In subgroup analysis, the prognostic value of low albumin was significant in patients with upper gastrointestinal, hepatobiliary and pancreatic, and colorectal cancers; low prealbumin was significant in colorectal cancer; and low transferrin was significant in patients with upper gastrointestinal and colorectal cancer. All three hepatic proteins were valuable as prognostic predictors for patients with advanced (Stage III and IV) cancer with cachexia. The risks of 90-days mortality and impaired QoL were higher in cachexia patients with low albumin, prealbumin, and transferrin levels.

Conclusion: Low albumin, prealbumin, and transferrin levels were all independent prognostic factors affecting patients with cancer cachexia, especially in patients in the advanced stages. These results highlight the value of routinely checking serum hepatic proteins in clinical practice to predict the prognosis of patients with cancer cachexia.