Don't chase the adenoma: A probabilistic approach to imaging before parathyroidectomy.

Background: Preoperative imaging before parathyroidectomy can localize adenomas and reduce unnecessary bilateral neck explorations. We hypothesized that (1) the utility of preoperative imaging varies substantially depending on the preoperative probability of having adenoma(s) and (2) that a selective imaging approach based on this probability could avoid unnecessary patient costs and radiation.

Methods: We analyzed 3,577 patients who underwent parathyroidectomy for primary hyperparathyroidism from 2001 to 2022. The predicted probability of patients having single or double adenoma versus hyperplasia was estimated using logistic regression. We then estimated the relationship between the predicted probability of single/double adenoma and the likelihood that sestamibi or 4-dimensional computed tomography was helpful for operative planning. Current Medicare costs and published data on radiation dosing were used to calculate costs and radiation exposure from non-helpful imaging.

Results: The mean age was 62 ± 13 years; 78% were women. Adenomas were associated with higher mean calcium (11.2 ± 0.74 mg/dL) and parathyroid hormone levels (140.6 ± 94 pg/mL) than hyperplasia (9.8 ± 0.52 mg/dL and 81.4 ± 66 pg/mL). The probability that imaging helped with operative planning increased from 12% to 65%, as the predicted probability of adenoma increased from 30% to 90%. For every 10,000 patients, a selective approach to imaging that considered the preoperative probability of having adenomas could save patients up to $3.4 million and >239,000 millisieverts of radiation.

Conclusion: Rather than imaging all patients with primary hyperparathyroidism, a selective strategy that considers the probability of having adenomas could reduce costs and avoid excess radiation exposure.