Background: With increasing antibiotic resistance and regulation, the issue of antibiotic combination has been emphasised. However, antibiotic combination prescribing lacks a rapid identification of feasibility, while its risk of drug interactions is unclear.
Methods: We conducted statistical descriptions on 16 101 antibiotic coprescriptions for inpatients with bacterial infections from 2015 to 2023. By integrating the frequency and effectiveness of prescriptions, we formulated recommendations for the feasibility of antibiotic combinations. Initially, a machine learning algorithm was utilised to optimise grading thresholds and habits for antibiotic combinations. A feedforward neural network (FNN) algorithm was employed to develop antibiotic combination recommendation model (ACRM). To enhance interpretability, we combined sequential methods and DrugBank to explore the correlation between antibiotic combinations and drug interactions.
Results: A total of 55 antibiotics, covering 657 empirical clinical antibiotic combinations were used for ACRM construction. Model performance on the test dataset showed AUROCs of 0.589-0.895 for various antibiotic recommendation classes. The ACRM showed satisfactory clinical relevance with 61.54-73.33% prediction accuracy in a new independent retrospective cohort. Antibiotic interaction detection showed that the risk of drug interactions was 29.2% for strongly recommended and 43.5% for not recommended. A positive correlation was identified between the level of clinical recommendation and the risk of drug interactions.
Conclusions: Machine learning modelling of retrospective antibiotic prescriptions habits has the potential to predict antibiotic combination recommendations. The ACRM plays a supporting role in reducing the incidence of drug interactions. Clinicians are encouraged to adopt such systems to improve the management of antibiotic usage and medication safety.
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