New-onset autoimmune disease after COVID-19.

Introduction: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) may trigger autoimmune disease (AD) through initial innate immune activation with subsequent aberrations in adaptive immune cells leading to AD. While there are multiple reports of incident AD diagnosed after COVID-19, the risk in the context of key circulating strains is unknown.

Methods: TriNetX, a global, federated, health research network providing access to electronic medical records across 74 healthcare organizations, was utilized to define an adult cohort between January 1, 2020, and March 3, 2023. Exposure was defined as COVID-19 diagnosis (ICD-10 code or positive laboratory test). Age- and sex-propensity score-matched controls never had COVID-19 diagnosed. Outcomes were assessed 1 month to 1 year after the index date. Patients with AD prior to or within 1 month after the index date were excluded from the primary analysis. Incidence and risk ratios of each AD were assessed.

Results: A total of 3,908,592 patients were included. Of 24 AD patients assessed, adjusted risk ratios for eight AD patients who had COVID-19 were higher compared to those who had no COVID-19. Cutaneous vasculitis (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 1.82; 95% CI 1.55-2.13), polyarteritis nodosa (aHR: 1.76; 95% CI 1.15-2.70), and hypersensitivity angiitis (aHR: 1.64; 95% CI 1.12-2.38) had the highest risk ratios. Overall, psoriasis (0.15%), rheumatoid arthritis (0.14%), and type 1 diabetes (0.13%) had the highest incidence during the study period, and of these, psoriasis and diabetes were more likely after COVID-19. The risk of any AD was lower if COVID-19 was diagnosed when Omicron variants were the predominant circulating strains. A positive antinuclear antibody was more likely and predictive of AD after COVID-19.

Discussion: SARS-CoV-2 may be a potential trigger for some AD, but the risk for AD may decrease with time given the apparent lower risk after infection with Omicron variants.