Young adults with a 22q11.2 microdeletion and the cost of aging with complexity in a population-based context.

Purpose: Information about the impact on the adult health care system is limited for complex rare pediatric diseases, despite their increasing collective prevalence that has paralleled advances in clinical care of children. Within a population-based health care context, we examined costs and multimorbidity in adults with an exemplar of contemporary genetic diagnostics.

Methods: We estimated direct health care costs over an 18-year period for adults with molecularly confirmed 22q11.2 microdeletion (cases) and matched controls (total 60,459 person-years of data) by linking the case cohort to health administrative data for the Ontario population (∼15 million people). We used linear regression to compare the relative ratio (RR) of costs and to identify baseline predictors of higher costs.

Results: Total adult (age ≥ 18) health care costs were significantly higher for cases compared with population-based (RR 8.5, 95% CI 6.5-11.1) controls, and involved all health care sectors. At study end, when median age was <30 years, case costs were comparable to population-based individuals aged 72 years, likelihood of being within the top 1st percentile of health care costs for the entire (any age) population was significantly greater for cases than controls (odds ratio [OR], for adults 17.90, 95% CI 7.43-43.14), and just 8 (2.19%) cases had a multimorbidity score of zero (vs 1483 (40.63%) controls). The 22q11.2 microdeletion was a significant predictor of higher overall health care costs after adjustment for baseline variables (RR 6.9, 95% CI 4.6-10.5).

Conclusion: The findings support the possible extension of integrative models of complex care used in pediatrics to adult medicine and the potential value of genetic diagnostics in adult clinical medicine.