Association of Age with Non-muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer: Unearthing a Biological Basis for Epidemiological Disparities?

Background: Age disparity in patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) exists. Whether this is due to differences in adequate cancer care or tumour biology is unclear.

Objective: To investigate age disparities in NMIBC using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare and UROMOL datasets.

Design, Setting, And Participants: The SEER-Medicare data were used to identify patients with clinical stage Ta, Tis, and T1 NMIBC between 2005 and 2017 (n = 32 225). Using the UROMOL cohort (n = 834), age disparities across transcriptomic, genomic, and spatial proteomic domains were assessed.

Outcome Measurements And Statistical Analysis: For the SEER-Medicare data, multivariable competing-risk regression was used to examine the association between age and recurrence, progression, and bladder cancer-specific mortality (BCSM). For the UROMOL cohort, multivariable general linear model and multinomial logistic regression were performed to evaluate the association between age and tumour biology.

Results And Limitations: An analysis of the SEER-Medicare cohort revealed 5-yr recurrence rates of 55.2%, 57.4%, and 58.9%; 5-yr progression rates of 25.6%, 29.2%, and 36.9%; and 5-yr BCSM rates of 3.9%, 5.8%, and 11.8% in patients aged 66-70, 71-80, and ≥81 yr, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, age ≥81 yr was associated with a higher risk of recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] 1.07, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-1.12; p = 0.001), progression (HR 1.32, p < 0.001), and BCSM (HR 2.58, p < 0.001). UROMOL2021 transcriptomic class 2a was most frequently observed in patients with advanced age (34.0% in ≥76 yr vs 21.6% in ≤65 yr; p = 0.004), a finding confirmed on multivariable analysis (risk ratio [RR] 3.86, p = 0.002). UROMOL2021 genomic class 3 was observed more frequently in patients aged ≥76 yr (4.9% vs 24.2%; p = 0.001). Limitations include the definitions used for recurrence and progression, which may lead to under- or overestimation of true rates.

Conclusions: Among SEER-Medicare patients with NMIBC, advanced age is associated with inferior oncological outcomes. These results reflect age-related molecular biological differences observed across transcriptomic and genomic domains, providing further evidence that innate tumour biology contributes to observed disparities in NMIBC outcomes.

Patient Summary: Older patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer have worse oncological outcomes than younger patients. Some of this age disparity may be due to differences in tumour biology.