A CAR-T response prediction model for r/r B-NHL patients based on a T cell subset nomogram.

Background: Chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T cells for refractory or relapsed (r/r) B cell no-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) patients have shown promising clinical effectiveness. However, the factors impacting the clinical response of CAR-T therapy have not been fully elucidated. We here investigate the independent influencing factors of the efficacy of CD19 CAR-T cell infusion in the treatment of r/r B-NHL and to establish an early prediction model.

Methods: A total of 43 r/r B-NHL patients were enrolled in this retrospective study. The patients' general data were recorded, and the primary endpoint is the patients' treatment response. The independent factors of complete remission (CR) and partial remission (PR) were investigated by univariate and binary logistic regression analysis, and the prediction model of the probability of CR was constructed according to the determined independent factors. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and calibration plot were used to assess the discrimination and calibration of the established model. Furthermore, we collected 15 participators to validate the model.

Results: Univariate analysis and binary logistic regression analysis of 43 patients showed that the ratio of central memory T cell (Tcm) and naïve T cell (Tn) in cytotoxic T cells (Tc) was an independent risk factor for response to CD19 CAR-T cell therapy in r/r B-NHL. On this basis, the area under the curve (AUC) of Tcm in the Tc and Tn in the Tc nomogram model was 0.914 (95%CI 0.832-0.996), the sensitivity was 83%, and the specificity was 74.2%, which had excellent predictive value. We did not found the difference of the progression-free survival (PFS).

Conclusions: The ratio of Tcm and Tn in Tc was found to be able to predict the treatment response of CD19 CAR-T cells in r/r B-NHL. We have established a nomogram model for the assessment of the CD19 CAR-T therapy response presented high specificity and sensitivity.